Northwood vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUE
2 - 0
NOR
78%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAS
12%
17%
72%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 3
SCR
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
HAY
16%
21%
64%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TOO
7 - 3
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BER
2 - 0
KEM
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
THA
1 - 2
BER
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
BER
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BER
2 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |