Northwood vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
NOR
4 - 0
ENF
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
RED
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
CON
0 - 1
AVE
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
10%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
4 - 1
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +4 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WIV
2 - 2
AVE
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
WHI
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |