Northwood vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
UXB
2 - 1
NOR
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 1
EGH
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 0
HAY
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ARL
1 - 3
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 0
AYL
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASH
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UXB
2 - 4
ASH
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 0
COR
26%
22%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 3
EGH
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |