Non League Div One Northern North. Jor. 40

Northwich Victoria vs Scarborough Athletic analysis

Northwich Victoria Scarborough Athletic
39 ELO 31
-6.5% Tilt -7.2%
10098º General ELO ranking 4700º
584º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Northwich Victoria
19%
Draw
15.9%
Scarborough Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Northwich Victoria
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
Scarborough Athletic
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Northwich Victoria
-10%
-21%
Scarborough Athletic

ELO progression

Northwich Victoria
Scarborough Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Northwich Victoria
Northwich Victoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2015
DRO
Droylsden
0 - 2
Northwich Victoria
NOR
39%
24%
37%
39 30 9 0
04 Apr. 2015
NOR
Northwich Victoria
5 - 1
Farsley Celtic
FAR
54%
23%
22%
38 34 4 +1
31 Mar. 2015
NOR
Northwich Victoria
0 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
37%
25%
38%
39 42 3 -1
24 Mar. 2015
OSS
Ossett Town
0 - 2
Northwich Victoria
NOR
18%
23%
59%
38 22 16 +1
14 Mar. 2015
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 1
Northwich Victoria
NOR
55%
24%
21%
37 42 5 +1

Matches

Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2015
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
1 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
24%
24%
53%
31 43 12 0
04 Apr. 2015
PRE
Prescot Cables
2 - 2
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
24%
22%
54%
32 21 11 -1
28 Mar. 2015
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
1 - 3
Salford City
SAL
36%
24%
40%
33 37 4 -1
21 Mar. 2015
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
1 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
30%
25%
44%
34 42 8 -1
17 Mar. 2015
FAR
Farsley Celtic
2 - 2
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
54%
21%
25%
34 36 2 0
X