Northwich Victoria vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
PRE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 4
NOR
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
CUR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KEN
3 - 2
FAR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 2
WAK
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
FAR
4 - 1
PAD
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 4
FAR
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
3 - 0
FAR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |