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Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 18

Northern Rangers vs Clarence United analysis

Northern Rangers Clarence United
15 ELO 13
108% Tilt -19%
16563º General ELO ranking 23240º
165º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
80.7%
Northern Rangers
12.2%
Draw
7.1%
Clarence United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
Northern Rangers
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.1%
Win probability
Clarence United
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Northern Rangers
+76%
-38%
Clarence United

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Devonport City
50
50
100%
South Hobart
47
47
100%
Hobart Zebras
39
39
100%
Launceston City
37
37
100%
Olympia Warriors
30
30
100%
Northern Rangers
20
20
100%
Kingborough Lions
15
15
100%
Clarence United
3
3
100%
Expected probabilities
Northern Rangers
Clarence United
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Northern Rangers
NOR
Clarence United
CLA
Devonport City
DEV
Kingborough Lions
KIN
South Hobart
SOU
Avondale Heights
AVH
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Northern Rangers
Northern Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO NOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2018
LAU
Launceston City
4 - 1
Northern Rangers
NOR
42%
28%
31%
214 159 -55 -2
29 Jul. 2018
NOR
Northern Rangers
0 - 4
Hobart Zebras
HOB
42%
28%
31%
216 291 -75 -2
21 Jul. 2018
NOR
Northern Rangers
2 - 2
Olympia Warriors
OLY
46%
27%
27%
216 228 -12 0
15 Jul. 2018
SOU
South Hobart
2 - 3
Northern Rangers
NOR
51%
26%
24%
215 389 174 +1
07 Jul. 2018
KIN
Kingborough Lions
5 - 2
Northern Rangers
NOR
42%
28%
31%
217 157 -60 -2

Matches

Clarence United
Clarence United
1%
X%
2%
ELO CLA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2018
SOU
South Hobart
7 - 1
Clarence United
CLA
51%
26%
24%
175 390 215 -2
28 Jul. 2018
CLA
Clarence United
0 - 5
Launceston City
LAU
44%
27%
29%
178 156 22 -3
21 Jul. 2018
DEV
Devonport City
6 - 0
Clarence United
CLA
47%
27%
26%
180 317 137 -2
14 Jul. 2018
CLA
Clarence United
1 - 8
Olympia Warriors
OLY
46%
27%
28%
183 226 -43 -3
07 Jul. 2018
HOB
Hobart Zebras
9 - 0
Clarence United
CLA
47%
27%
26%
186 288 102 -3