Northern AFC vs Roslyn Wakari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
60.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GIA
5 - 1
NAF
62%
18%
20%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
QPA
1 - 4
NAF
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAF
13 - 2
OBA
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAW
4 - 3
NAF
94%
5%
2%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 0
NAF
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Roslyn Wakari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ROW
1 - 2
MOS
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GWA
0 - 6
ROW
9%
14%
77%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ROW
2 - 3
OTU
34%
22%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
WNK
1 - 3
ROW
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ROW
3 - 2
MOS
22%
19%
59%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |