Northampton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
PLY
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MKD
4 - 3
NOR
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
IPS
0 - 0
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
DON
2 - 1
OPA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 1
GIL
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
0 - 1
OPA
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
OPA
0 - 1
BPO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
BRO
3 - 1
OPA
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |