League Two Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Northampton vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 3
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 0
EXE
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
3 - 2
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
LEY
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |