North Texas vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 3
NOT
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 3
COR
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 1
NOT
25%
25%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
TAC
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
NOT
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
COR
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
AFC
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
LAF
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
SPK
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |