North Star vs Virginia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
49.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ACA
4 - 2
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRK
30%
20%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAY
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
3 - 1
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 2
GAP
20%
19%
60%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Virginia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
RIC
6 - 2
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ALB
5 - 2
VIR
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 4
UNI
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NPI
7 - 1
VIR
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 4
ACA
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |