Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 5

North Leigh vs Yate Town analysis

North Leigh Yate Town
27 ELO 33
8.1% Tilt 9.8%
8489º General ELO ranking 8664º
468º Country ELO ranking 481º
ELO win probability
37.6%
North Leigh
23.8%
Draw
38.6%
Yate Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
North Leigh
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
Yate Town
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
North Leigh
-50%
+78%
Yate Town

Points and table prediction

North Leigh
Their league position
Yate Town
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
16º
22º
21º
35
22º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Weston-super-Mare
92
92
100%
Bracknell Town FC
90
90
100%
Truro City
89
89
100%
Chesham United
80
80
100%
Poole Town
78
78
100%
Swindon Supermarine
75
75
100%
Hayes & Yeading United
69
69
100%
Metropolitan Police
62
62
100%
Merthyr Town
61
61
100%
Beaconsfield
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Plymouth Parkway
11º
58
58
11º
100%
Tiverton Town
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Dorchester Town
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Salisbury City
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Hanwell Town
15º
48
48
15º
100%
Winchester City
16º
46
46
16º
100%
Gosport Borough
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Hendon
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Harrow Borough
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Yate Town
20º
35
35
20º
100%
North Leigh
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Hartley Wintney
22º
33
33
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
North Leigh
Yate Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

North Leigh
Yate Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

North Leigh
North Leigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
HEN
Hendon
0 - 2
North Leigh
NOR
41%
23%
36%
26 26 0 0
16 Aug. 2022
NOR
North Leigh
2 - 4
Winchester City
WIN
27%
22%
51%
27 36 9 -1
13 Aug. 2022
NOR
North Leigh
0 - 2
Metropolitan Police
MET
20%
20%
60%
29 41 12 -2
06 Aug. 2022
DOR
Dorchester Town
2 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
30%
23%
48%
31 26 5 -2
23 Jul. 2022
BAN
Banbury United
3 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
70%
18%
11%
31 51 20 0

Matches

Yate Town
Yate Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 4
Salisbury City
SAL
63%
19%
18%
34 26 8 0
16 Aug. 2022
WES
Weston-super-Mare
3 - 2
Yate Town
YAT
67%
19%
14%
35 42 7 -1
13 Aug. 2022
YAT
Yate Town
2 - 3
Hanwell Town
HAN
47%
23%
30%
36 36 0 -1
06 Aug. 2022
HEN
Hendon
0 - 1
Yate Town
YAT
32%
24%
44%
36 28 8 0
30 Jul. 2022
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 2
Bath City
BAT
38%
25%
37%
36 38 2 0
X