North Leigh vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
15º
16º
54
2º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
4 - 1
KIN
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STO
0 - 2
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
NOR
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 2
NOR
10%
15%
76%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BIG
4 - 3
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 0
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THA
0 - 1
WEL
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 3
BED
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 2
AFD
42%
23%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |