North Ferriby United vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LEA
0 - 2
NOR
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 4
NOR
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
HED
0 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
GAI
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 2
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 3
HIS
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 3
BRA
27%
24%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 0
HIS
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
HIS
1 - 0
BRA
32%
24%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |