North District vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
NDT
4 - 2
SHA
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NDT
5 - 3
CAA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
WTP
1 - 3
NDT
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NDT
0 - 0
EAD
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CWD
0 - 3
NDT
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
HON
2 - 1
ISK
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
EAD
0 - 1
HON
18%
19%
62%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 1
HON
12%
16%
72%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
WON
0 - 6
HON
7%
12%
81%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 2
HON
5%
10%
85%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |