Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
XVD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
XVD
3 - 0
RIO
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
OES
2 - 1
XVD
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
XVD
0 - 0
OES
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |