Noroeste vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEM
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
NOR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
PRI
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 0
SAO
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |