Noroeste vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 2
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
OES
1 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
XVD
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
3 - 2
OES
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
PRI
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
PRI
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 0
PRI
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |