Noroeste vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 2
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 2
SAO
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SER
2 - 0
MAR
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
9%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
25%
24%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |