Noroeste vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
5 - 3
RBB
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 1
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 1
GRÊ
30%
23%
48%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |