Noroeste vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 2
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
RIO
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 0
DES
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
NOR
58%
25%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
RBB
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
RBB
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
INT
0 - 2
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 3
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
DES
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |