Merani Tbilisi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
MET
62%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
46%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
3 - 0
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIT
1 - 4
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |