Nomads Utd vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
61.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
NOM
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
2 - 4
SCR
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 0
MOS
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
9 - 1
NOM
93%
5%
1%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
NSF
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NSF
0 - 5
CHR
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
NSF
18%
18%
64%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 4
NSF
29%
21%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |