Noja vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
NOJ
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NOJ
0 - 1
REO
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
TRO
0 - 0
NOJ
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NOJ
4 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
DEV
1 - 1
NOJ
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CUL
0 - 1
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 0
CUL
34%
27%
40%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CUL
2 - 0
BUE
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
CUL
48%
26%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CUL
4 - 1
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |