Nocerina vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 1
NOC
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 2
NOC
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
USC
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |