Urania vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
16º
16º
27
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NER
2 - 0
UBV
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
HNK
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
2 - 0
UBV
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
ZAG
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
2 - 1
UBV
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 1
USK
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 1
SPL
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNK
10%
19%
71%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
4 - 0
KAM
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NER
0 - 0
SPL
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |