Urania vs HNK Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
16º
16º
60
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
2 - 0
UBV
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
ZAG
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
2 - 1
UBV
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GOS
3 - 1
UBV
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UBV
4 - 1
PRB
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
USK
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 3
HNK
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 0
KAM
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
HNK
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 2
MAK
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |