Hrvatski Vitez vs Primorac Biograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
15º
4º
45
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Vitez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKH
0 - 0
SPL
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NER
2 - 0
NKH
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKH
2 - 1
HNK
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 4
NKH
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NKH
0 - 0
ZAG
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Primorac Biograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRB
1 - 0
UBV
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 1
PRB
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PRB
2 - 0
USK
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NER
4 - 0
PRB
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PRB
2 - 0
SMR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |