Cres vs Nehaj Senj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
9º
44
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROV
4 - 0
NKC
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NKC
1 - 2
VNV
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NHV
0 - 0
NKC
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKM
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
NKC
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nehaj Senj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEH
2 - 4
POM
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEH
4 - 1
ROV
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VNV
5 - 2
NEH
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEH
3 - 0
NHV
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NKM
1 - 3
NEH
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |