Nivo Sparta vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nivo Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ZUI
4 - 3
NIV
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NIV
0 - 3
LES
78%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EEM
0 - 1
NIV
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NIV
2 - 3
CSW
51%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NIV
2 - 4
ALM
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARC
5 - 0
DMZ
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SVL
3 - 2
ARC
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 4
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LRC
0 - 1
ARC
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 4
ARC
17%
21%
63%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |