Nismes vs Pesche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nismes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LOY
4 - 2
NIS
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 1
WEP
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 3
FLA
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
NIS
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NIS
3 - 1
AND
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pesche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PES
4 - 0
RHI
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
PES
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOL
5 - 1
PES
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PES
0 - 3
GRA
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 1
PES
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |