Niger vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
NER
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
NER
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NER
2 - 0
CIV
14%
22%
63%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NER
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NER
1 - 1
EGY
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
MDG
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MDG
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
MOZ
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |