noscript image

Poland Third Division. Matchday 30

Nielba Wagrowiec vs Chemik Police analysis

Nielba Wagrowiec Chemik Police
20 ELO 18
29% Tilt -8%
12317º General ELO ranking 13439º
156º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Nielba Wagrowiec
22.5%
Draw
18.3%
Chemik Police

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
Nielba Wagrowiec
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
Chemik Police
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nielba Wagrowiec
+59%
-6%
Chemik Police

Points and table prediction

Nielba Wagrowiec
Their league position
Chemik Police
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
34
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flota Swinoujscie
68
68
100%
Unia Janikowo
60
60
100%
Nielba Wagrowiec
55
55
100%
Jarota Jarocin
53
53
50%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
53
53
50%
Victoria Koronowo
47
47
100%
TKP Elana Torun
46
46
100%
Chemik Police
34
34
50%
Kaszubia Kościerzyna
34
34
50%
Wierzyca Pelplin
10º
32
32
10º
50%
Rodlo Kwidzyn
11º
32
32
11º
50%
Mieszko Gniezno
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Kujawiak Włocławek
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Rega Trzebiatów
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Zdrój Ciechocinek
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Cartusia Kartuzy
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nielba Wagrowiec
Chemik Police
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
Chemik Police
CHP
Miedz Legnica
MIE
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
Polonia Słubice
MPS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nielba Wagrowiec
Nielba Wagrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO NIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2008
TRT
Rega Trzebiatów
1 - 3
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
46%
27%
27%
267 237 -30 +2
24 May. 2008
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
4 - 0
Zdrój Ciechocinek
CZC
47%
27%
26%
265 232 33 +2
21 May. 2008
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
1 - 2
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
45%
27%
28%
264 270 6 +1
17 May. 2008
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
4 - 0
Kaszubia Kościerzyna
KAS
45%
27%
28%
261 243 18 +2
10 May. 2008
MGZ
Mieszko Gniezno
2 - 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
46%
27%
27%
263 219 -44 -1

Matches

Chemik Police
Chemik Police
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2008
CHP
Chemik Police
2 - 2
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
46%
27%
27%
247 263 -16 0
25 May. 2008
TKP
TKP Elana Torun
0 - 0
Chemik Police
CHP
45%
27%
28%
247 256 9 0
21 May. 2008
CHP
Chemik Police
0 - 3
Unia Janikowo
UNI
44%
27%
29%
249 354 -105 -2
17 May. 2008
CHP
Chemik Police
0 - 0
Rega Trzebiatów
TRT
45%
27%
28%
249 237 12 0
10 May. 2008
CZC
Zdrój Ciechocinek
2 - 2
Chemik Police
CHP
46%
27%
27%
249 235 -14 0