Nice vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 3
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
NIC
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
NIC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 0
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 0
VIT
87%
11%
3%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 1
NAN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SOC
0 - 0
NAN
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NAN
3 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |