Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
STR
0 - 1
NIC
42%
29%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 1
LHA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
REI
74%
17%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 1
LYO
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
ASN
40%
29%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |