Nice vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 0
NIC
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
DYN
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
LAU
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ROD
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ACM
5 - 0
MOD
85%
12%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
59%
21%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 7
ACM
26%
24%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |