Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
S04
2 - 0
NIC
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
NIC
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
RBS
46%
24%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NIC
4 - 1
NAN
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
MPL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
53%
27%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |