UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-3
Nice vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
4 - 1
NIC
44%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
NIC
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
STA
0 - 4
NIC
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 2
PAO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 2
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
65%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |