Nicaragua vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
CRI
4 - 0
NIC
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
5 - 1
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
NIC
0 - 1
GTM
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
BRB
0 - 1
NIC
19%
22%
58%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 2
NIC
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
HTI
2 - 1
BMU
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUY
1 - 3
HTI
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 1
HTI
87%
9%
3%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SLV
1 - 0
HTI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HTI
2 - 1
CUB
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |