Nibionnoggiono vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nibionnoggiono
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
NIB
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
NIB
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NIB
4 - 1
SON
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NIB
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
USB
0 - 1
NIB
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DES
0 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
DES
3 - 2
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
DES
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DES
3 - 3
SER
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
DES
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |