Neza vs Furia Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HAQ
3 - 1
NEZ
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NEZ
2 - 1
CAP
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DRT
2 - 0
NEZ
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 4
JAJ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Furia Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FUR
2 - 3
CHA
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IDN
1 - 1
FUR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JAJ
2 - 1
FUR
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FUR
5 - 2
HAQ
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FUR
2 - 1
CAP
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |