Neza vs Atlético Capitalino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DRT
2 - 0
NEZ
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 4
JAJ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 1
IDN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FUR
1 - 0
NEZ
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Capitalino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 5
CHA
17%
26%
57%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 3
IDN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FUR
2 - 1
CAP
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 3
HAQ
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
JAJ
5 - 1
CAP
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |