Newtown vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
6º
4º
80
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
NEW
45%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
PEN
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |