Newtown vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
6º
41
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 3
NEW
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAE
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
FLI
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
FLI
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |