Newtown vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
42%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
BAL
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
TAF
84%
12%
5%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |