Newtown vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 5
NEW
13%
20%
66%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 1
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
FLI
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
FLI
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |