Newtown vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
38%
25%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
34%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |