Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
6º
0
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 8
NEW
7%
12%
81%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 3
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
QPA
0 - 3
AIR
6%
11%
84%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 6
BAL
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |