Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
NEW
44%
23%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
5 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 4
AIR
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |