Newton Aycliffe vs Redcar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 3
NEW
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MOS
1 - 0
NEW
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SRC
0 - 2
NEW
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
NEW
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Redcar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SRC
2 - 3
RAF
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
CRO
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
1 - 3
RAF
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 4
NEW
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 3
SEA
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |